The numbers
On March 13, 2026, Pakistan recorded a notable $20 million bond withdrawal, part of a larger trend of net foreign outflows totaling $184.3 million during the first 13 days of the ongoing Iran war. This significant capital movement highlights the growing concerns among investors regarding the geopolitical climate in the region.
The largest withdrawals during this period were predominantly from the United Kingdom, which accounted for $69.5 million in outflows. Following closely was Bahrain, with $33.7 million, while Singapore and the United States saw outflows of $27.5 million and $27.3 million, respectively. In stark contrast, total inflows during the same timeframe were limited to just $19.3 million, with $10 million originating from Bahrain and $9.2 million from the United Kingdom.
Despite Pakistan’s lack of direct involvement in the conflict, investor sentiment has weakened sharply, reflecting broader market anxieties. The scale of these outflows is reminiscent of capital movements observed during early 2020, which were triggered by the disruptions caused by the Covid-19 pandemic. Such historical parallels underscore the sensitivity of financial markets to external shocks.
The State Bank of Pakistan has been monitoring these developments closely, as the implications of sustained outflows could affect the country’s economic stability. The withdrawal of funds from domestic bonds raises questions about the confidence of foreign investors in Pakistan’s financial landscape.
As the situation evolves, observers are keenly watching how these trends will impact the overall economic environment in Pakistan. The ongoing conflict in the region may continue to influence investor behavior, leading to further capital flight or, conversely, potential recovery if stability is restored.
Details remain unconfirmed regarding the long-term effects of these withdrawals on Pakistan’s bond market and overall economic health. Stakeholders are urged to remain vigilant as the situation develops.
In summary, the $20 million bond withdrawal is a significant indicator of the current investor sentiment in Pakistan, as foreign outflows during the early stages of the Iran war raise concerns about the country’s financial resilience.